This table shows the percentage of players with a given record that have gone on to make the top 8. Data is drawn from all "medium" fifteen-round GPs from August 2003 to March 2020. Here "medium" means 1025-1536 players. There are 150 such events. Players with byes aren't included until they appear, so a player with two byes who wins their first match in round 3 will count for the "3-0" box but not the "1-0" or "2-0". As such the "1-0" box tallies only people who played in and won round 1. Mouseover or tap the table to show the data underlying that cell.

Here are links to the corresponding tables for small, medium, large, and massive GPs.

at conclusion of round...		x-0	x-0-1	x-1	x-1-1	x-2	x-1-2	x-2-1	x-3
	15	100 3/3	100 2/2	100 8/8	100 124/124	98 468/478	99.6 237/238	63 314/497	0.39 9/2312
	14	100 7/7	100 14/14	100 111/111	95 266/281	57 672/1186	50 17/34	20 84/426	0.13 5/3988
	13	100 26/26	100 25/25	88 367/415	58 89/154	28 624/2192	24 13/54	7.3 46/626	0.05 3/5934
	12	91 62/68	71 25/35	58 452/778	32 83/256	14 533/3694	13 10/75	3.0 26/880	0.01 1/8319
	11	74 104/141	60 36/60	38 535/1412	16 67/428	6.9 423/6146	6.6 8/121	1.6 19/1180	0 0/10716
	10	58 173/299	43 42/98	22 580/2578	8.3 61/736	3.2 319/9872	4.3 7/161	0.85 12/1417	0 0/11763
	9	43 268/621	26 43/165	12 576/4637	4.5 55/1217	1.6 244/15506	1.4 4/285	0.20 5/2450	0 0/20220
	8	28 348/1259	16 50/316	7.0 577/8219	1.8 34/1839	0.79 184/23332	0.27 1/374	0.06 2/3385	0 0/28206
	7	18 451/2568	8.0 45/566	3.8 542/14151	0.91 25/2756	0.40 132/33091	0 0/543	0.02 1/4381	0 0/33549
	6	11 588/5202	4.4 45/1028	2.0 467/23577	0.36 14/3921	0.19 84/43783	0 0/720	0.02 1/5092	0 0/36201
	5	6.8 716/10596	2.4 42/1767	1.0 388/37403	0.10 5/5169	0.09 48/52268	0 0/877	0 0/5232	0 0/33246
	4	4.0 854/21620	0.92 26/2833	0.55 301/54752	0.07 4/6071	0.03 15/53705	0 0/755	0 0/4308	0 0/24277
	3	1.8 635/35718	0.33 13/3962	0.22 149/68379	0.02 1/5722	0.01 5/44390	0 0/424	0 0/2433	0 0/11634
	2	0.57 237/41391	0.08 4/4869	0.10 68/67576	0 0/4049	0 0/26071
	1	0.23 127/56379	0 0/4626	0.03 19/56358