Welcome to Elo 2.0! See the most recent blog post to learn more.

This table shows the percentage of players with a given record that have gone on to make the top 8. Data comes from all 16 round split-format PTs (ones with six rounds of draft and eight rounds of constructed). There have been 46 such tournaments, from Pro Tour Honolulu 2009 to Pro Tour Modern Horizons 3. Only boxes saying "0" have zero instances. Some multi-draw columns were omitted due to small sample sizes. Mouseover or tap the table to show the data underlying that cell.

at conclusion of round...
x-0 x-1 x-1-1 x-2 x-2-1 x-3 x-3-1 x-4
16 LSV 1/1 100 1/1 100 3/3 100 1/1 100 23/23 100 20/20 99 166/167 24 65/266
15 100 2/2 100 4/4 100 3/3 100 20/20 100 59/59 94 168/179 53 33/62 10.0 61/611
14 100 2/2 100 12/12 100 5/5 99 80/81 73 19/26 55 183/330 33 24/73 3.9 36/935
13 100 3/3 100 29/29 100 4/4 81 116/144 44 14/32 30 159/534 17 20/117 1.4 19/1326
12 100 6/6 96 49/51 78 7/9 57 138/241 28 15/53 15 128/846 9.2 14/152 0.43 8/1844
11 100 10/10 81 70/86 47 9/19 36 152/418 12 9/75 7.7 100/1297 5.9 12/202 0.17 4/2420
10 95 18/19 62 94/151 24 8/33 23 161/708 9.1 10/110 3.4 64/1875 3.5 9/260 0.07 2/3039
9 79 27/34 45 126/281 18 9/50 13 145/1128 5.4 9/168 1.6 42/2668 1.7 5/290 0 0/3429
8 60 42/70 31 154/495 12 10/86 6.6 118/1778 3.0 7/230 0.84 30/3590 0.61 2/328 0 0/4214
7 50 65/131 19 172/890 6.3 8/128 3.5 94/2686 1.7 5/286 0.37 17/4540 0.63 2/316 0 0/4351
6 32 84/263 12 189/1545 3.1 6/195 1.8 70/3889 0.61 2/330 0.17 9/5211 0.68 2/293 0 0/3816
5 23 118/523 6.8 177/2622 0.85 2/235 0.99 52/5246 0.86 3/349 0.17 9/5249 0 0/199 0 0/2565
4 14 152/1067 3.8 159/4230 0.99 3/304 0.69 44/6377 0.36 1/278 0.05 2/4230 0 0/76 0 0/1031
3 9.1 197/2156 2.1 138/6435 0.32 1/308 0.40 26/6432 0 0/133 0 0/2110
2 5.6 241/4336 1.3 113/8670 0 0/201 0.21 9/4295
1 3.4 298/8787 0.76 66/8736