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2017 May 23 (Adam)

I believe that GP Montreal last weekend marks the fifteenth occurrence since 1/1/2010 that tables 1, 2, 3, and 4 at an event have chosen to ID in the last round of Swiss. In three of those, it was a clean cut to the top eight: the eight people who drew were guaranteed to have more match points than the rest of the field. In the other twelve instances it came down to tiebreakers and/or the results of pairdowns. Here’s how the eight IDers finished, by event.

event
positions
gpoma17
clean cut
gpmon17
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9
gpvan15
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
gpman15
2 3 4 6 7 8 9 10
gpba14
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
gpabq13
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
gpkc13
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9
ptdgm
clean cut
gpsin13
1 2 3 4 5 7 8 9
gptai12
clean cut
gpmc12
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 9
gphir11
clean cut
gpdal11
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
ptams10
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8
gpbru10
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
gpkl10
1 2 3 5 6 7 8 10
pthon09
clean cut
gpbrus08
1 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
gpnj04
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
gpfuk02
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Only in three(!) of the twelve tournaments where there was suspense did the eight IDers make the top eight. Be careful when drawing, people!