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This table shows the percentage of players with a given record that have gone on to make the top 8. Data is drawn from all "massive" fifteen-round GPs from August 2003 to March 2020. Here "massive" means exceeding 2048 players. There are 38 such events. Players with byes aren't included until they appear, so a player with two byes who wins their first match in round 3 will count for the "3-0" box but not the "1-0" or "2-0". As such the "1-0" box tallies only people who played in and won round 1. Mouseover or tap the table to show the data underlying that cell.

Here are links to the corresponding tables for small, medium, large, and massive GPs.

at conclusion of round...
x-0 x-0-1 x-1 x-1-1 x-2 x-1-2 x-2-1 x-3
15 0/0 100 2/2 100 15/15 100 117/117 43 168/388 0 0/3 0 0/119 0 0/1373
14 100 2/2 100 2/2 94 126/134 44 18/41 22 156/717 0 0/9 0 0/180 0 0/2247
13 94 15/16 43 3/7 64 148/231 19 14/72 10 124/1217 0 0/17 0 0/288 0 0/3335
12 68 25/37 25 3/12 40 169/422 11 14/130 4.6 93/2037 0 0/32 0 0/412 0 0/4764
11 47 37/79 14 4/28 25 186/757 5.9 13/220 1.9 64/3359 0 0/47 0 0/561 0 0/6344
10 34 54/161 8.2 4/49 13 181/1377 3.5 13/368 0.96 52/5412 0 0/48 0 0/678 0 0/7474
9 22 73/328 6.3 5/79 7.3 182/2508 2.0 11/562 0.39 33/8451 0 0/100 0 0/1143 0 0/11522
8 15 102/669 5.8 9/154 3.8 166/4411 0.45 4/887 0.18 23/12669 0 0/169 0 0/1593 0 0/15666
7 10 136/1348 2.5 7/279 1.9 141/7607 0.30 4/1329 0.09 16/18074 0 0/234 0 0/2043 0 0/18636
6 6.0 163/2730 1.9 9/481 0.96 122/12743 0.05 1/1887 0.04 9/23949 0 0/311 0 0/2384 0 0/19946
5 3.8 209/5529 0.88 7/799 0.42 85/20336 0.04 1/2565 <0.01 2/28899 0 0/340 0 0/2419 0 0/18157
4 2.2 249/11214 0.15 2/1337 0.17 51/30256 0.03 1/2921 <0.01 1/30218 0 0/349 0 0/2035 0 0/13058
3 1.0 214/21267 0 0/1931 0.06 23/39426 0 0/2782 0 0/24440 0 0/214 0 0/1185 0 0/6231
2 0.26 61/23325 0 0/2255 <0.01 3/38236 0 0/1946 0 0/14878
1 0.09 30/33210 0 0/2386 <0.01 2/33192